{"id":3319,"date":"2022-07-19T15:55:23","date_gmt":"2022-07-19T15:55:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/preprod.realtrends.com\/blog\/2022\/07\/19\/single-family-housing-starts-plummet-and-its-going-to-get-worse\/"},"modified":"2025-03-13T02:44:36","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T02:44:36","slug":"single-family-housing-starts-plummet-and-its-going-to-get-worse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.realtrends.com\/blog\/2022\/07\/19\/single-family-housing-starts-plummet-and-its-going-to-get-worse\/","title":{"rendered":"Single-family housing starts plummet, and it&#8217;s going to get worse"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Housing starts fell 2.0% <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.realtrends.com\/blog\/articles\/housing-starts-post-double-digit-decrease-in-may\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">month over month<\/a> in June to the lowest rate since April 2020, reflecting the increased pessimism among homebuilders. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Housing starts dropped to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.559 million in June, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/economic-indicators\/?utm_campaign=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">report<\/a> released Tuesday by the&nbsp;<strong>U.S. Census Bureau<\/strong>&nbsp;and the&nbsp;<strong>U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rate is 6.3% lower than the rate recorded in June 2021, and coincided with a decline in homebuilder sentiment. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Single-family housing starts dropped 8.1% month over month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 982,000, the lowest rate of housing starts since the throws of the pandemic in April 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cHomebuilder confidence plunged in July for the seventh month in a row, driven by declines in all three components of the index: current single-family home sales, future sales expectations, and traffic of prospective buyers,\u201d Odeta Kushi, <strong>First American\u2019s<\/strong> deputy chief economist, said in a statement. \u201cAs homebuilder sentiment falls, so does homebuilding.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By contrast, the multifamily sector recoded a 15.0% month over month increase to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 568,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhile the multifamily market remains strong on solid rental housing demand, the softening of single-family construction data should send a strong signal to the Federal Reserve that tighter financial conditions are producing a housing downturn,\u201d Robert Dietz, the chief economist for the <strong>National Association of Home Builders<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Building permits for single family homes also took a tumble in June, dropping 8.0% from a month prior to a rate of 967,000. This is the first time since June 2020, both single-family starts and permits fell below a 1 million annual pace. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts attribute the drop in both housing starts and permits to <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.housingwire.com\/articles\/purchase-mortgage-rates-shoot-back-up-to-5-50\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">increased interest rates<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/eyeonhousing.org\/2022\/07\/since-pandemic-onset-lumber-products-have-added-14k-to-house-price-51-to-rent\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">building material supply chain bottlenecks and elevated construction costs<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe new-home market is particularly sensitive to rising mortgage rates and builders want to ensure that if they build it, someone will buy it,\u201d Kushi said. \u201cBuilders are likely to respond to the decline in affordability and cooling demand by building fewer homes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition, industry experts believe the slow in housing starts could be an indicator of a greater market shift in the housing industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cHomebuilding is a leading economic and housing indicator, and the decline in housing starts suggests housing is slowing,\u201d Kushi said in a statement. \u201cInflation hurts consumer confidence and purchasing power, while higher mortgage rates alongside high home prices dampen affordability. The result? A reduction in home buyer traffic and sales.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Reflecting the drop in homebuilder sentiment, housing starts also continued to decrease in June, reaching their lowest level since 2020.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34740,"featured_media":4822,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3255],"tags":[],"coauthors":[1760],"class_list":["post-3319","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archive"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.4 (Yoast SEO v26.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Single-family housing starts plummet, and it&#039;s going to get worse - RealTrends - Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Reflecting the drop in homebuilder sentiment, housing starts also continued to decrease in June, reaching their lowest level since 2020\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/preprod.realtrends.com\/blog\/2022\/07\/19\/single-family-housing-starts-plummet-and-its-going-to-get-worse\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Single-family housing starts plummet, and it&#039;s going to get worse\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Reflecting the drop in homebuilder sentiment, housing starts also continued to decrease in June, reaching their lowest level since 2020\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/preprod.realtrends.com\/blog\/2022\/07\/19\/single-family-housing-starts-plummet-and-its-going-to-get-worse\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"RealTrends - 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